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Surprise, Surpise, Surprise

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I love surprises. And the Avalanche have been chock full of them this year. Some are obvious (Joe covered one yesterday), but I think the sheer number of unexpected improvements from a lot of the same guys who "participated" in last year's mail-in season makes it possible that a few of the surprises fall through the cracks. In light of that, and since we've got an extra off-day to fill, I thought I'd look at surprise improvements from Avalanche players, in order from least to most surprising.

Craig Anderson

Anderson has been rock solid, although I'm not sure he's really taken any of us by surprise statistically. He does appear to have that starting goalie swagger that no Avalanche goalie other than Patrick Roy has possessed, and that part isn't something everyone saw coming. But his stats - 2.68 GAA and .916 Save Percentage are right on par with his career numbers (2.82 / .912). I would say that's right in line with what we expected.

Chris Stewart

With 21 points in 31 games, he's already topped his career high 19 in 53 games last year. His PPG rate has almost doubled from .36 to .68. Not a complete shock, of course, because we've all seen that he has a belt full of NHL tools at his disposal. The question has always been whether or not he had the desire to use them, and that was certainly in question earlier in the season when Stewart was briefly demoted. As Joe pointed out yesterday, he has come on strong lately.

David Jones

Yes, his season is all but over. But before wrecking his ACL in a freak collision, Jones had already set a career high for goals, points and set a record for most predictable nickname. I placed him a bit higher than Stewart on the DDC Surprise O Meter scale mostly because Stewart was a 1st round draft pick and Jones was taken 288th overall - the lowest Quebec / Colorado draft pick to make the NHL.

Wojtek Wolski

In my opinion, Wolski hasn't gotten anywhere near enough notice for the season he's having. His 33 points have him 22nd in the league in scoring. He needs 17 more points to set a career high and his .92 PPG is well above his career average going into this season of .61. Wolski's point totals have dropped every year he's been in the NHL, so this breakout season is a welcome turn of tale for WW. He still seems to attract way to much ire from the fans but geez, folks, he's not a power forward. Get over it already. He's scored a point in 25 of the 36 game's he's played in this year - 70%, which blows away the 55% for Stastny and 45% for Hejduk.

Scott Hannan

Hannan isn't as young as the other guys on this list, but I think he deserves some props for the improvement to his game. Hannan's struggles in his first two seasons in Denver are well documented. So we might as well make sure it's in print that Hannan - not Kyle Quincey or Adam Foote - has been the Avs' most consistent defenseman this year. I have long been on the record that Hannan's $4.5 million isn't the disaster it's been made out to be, and I think he's been well worth that money this year. He's even been providing a little offense, which is a welcome addition.

Kyle Cumiskey

Nothing surprised me more this fall than Kyle Cumiskey making the club out of camp. I always enjoyed watching him play, but didn't have faith that he'd ever pull it together in the pros. He's proving me wrong. Cumiskey has been breathtaking to watch this year (he's currently on the shelf with a foot injury). He's been steady defensively (a part of his game he'd already been pretty good at), but he's also been greatly improved on the offensive side of things (a part of the game where he previously stunk at). His .29 PPG rate still isn't hot (works out to 24 points over a full season), but it's double his career rate going into this year (.13).

Ryan Wilson

On a team full of surprises, Ryan "Mitch" Wilson has got to be the biggest surprise of them all. Wilson was never drafted, despite being the top-scoring defenseman in the OHL. Twice. The knock on Wilson seemed to be his lack of skating as well as some defensive deficiencies. Check out one scout's comments on Wilson from back in 2005:

He’s too knock-kneed for me; he’s got some offensive gifts but my groins get sore watching him skate! There’s no way that he can be an NHL player and skate like that, his knees will wear out from rubbing together.

When Wilson was acquired in the Jordan Leopold trade, I don't think any of us thought of him as anything less than a throw in. Kent Wilson of Matchsticks and Gasoline called him "a long shot to ever be an NHLer" while a genius here at MHH pointed out that the 2nd round pick obtained in that deal was "the key" of the deal (yeah, it was me). Surprise. Wilson has been an absolute find, and even if Stefan Elliott (the aformentioned 2nd rounder) never plays a minute in the NHL, that trade is looking right now like it's going to go down as an absolute steal for former GM Francois Giguere. Wilson doesn't look much to me like a knock-kneed defensive sieve. He's been reliable defensively, he's shown some spark offensively and he's already had so many open-ice hits that whenever I see someone in another jersey get run over out of the corner of my eye, I immediately say "yep, that was Wilson." And about 75% of the time, I'm right. His ice time has steadily increased (12:25 in October, 14:41 in November, 18:16 in December) and he's starting to get used more and more both on the PP and the PK. When Kyle Cumiskey returns, Joe Sacco may have a really tough decision on his hands. That's high praise for an undrafted free agent who was considered AHL filler just 9 months ago. The secret may be out though. To sponsor Wilson's page at hockey-reference you'd have to shell out $25, more than any other active Avalanche player. Yes, really. You have a problem with that?

 

Poll
Who has been the Avs most surprising player this year?
Anderson
49 votes
Stewart
45 votes
Jones
19 votes
Wolski
35 votes
Hannan
7 votes
Cumiskey
17 votes
Wilson
94 votes

266 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 25 comments |

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Comments

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I agree with you on this entire list.

The only thing I disagree with is Cumiskey’s defense…but that’s a small thing with me, because he is never going to be a shutdown guy. Cumiskey also needs to work on his passing…he turns over the puck a lot.

Can I say that on the list of other surprises, is just how bad and unfocused TJ Hensick was this year. Or even the surprising play of Ryan O’Reilly and TJ “Gallardi”

As noted, I am not a big Peter Budaj fan. Just so everyone knows...you know, so people don't have to point it out every post. That doesn't mean I want him to fail, as some have suggested...that is all

by chiavsfan on Dec 18, 2009 7:08 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I’ve also been really impressed with Hannan, considering how I was hoping he’da been gone by training camp.

Also, I’m surprised with Kyle Quincy. Perhaps because I knew nothing about him before he showed up on the Avs roster. I mean, yeah, he was traded for Smyth, who I never much cared for, but I still felt like the Avs got the shaft on that trade. Quincey though, I haven’t seen him make a real stupid play in any game I’ve seen.

meh

by Jimmy_the_scumbag on Dec 18, 2009 7:32 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Even with the play of Quincey, I would take Smyth back in a heartbeat. His contract was a bit high, but I think people expected too much from him. He’s not a 50 goal scorer, and he’s not a 100-point producer…but the guy was one of about 3 people who gave a shit every night last yeah regardless if the Avs were up 10-0, or down 10-0. I would take a team full of Ryan Smyth’s any day, if nothing else, for their work ethic.

It also would have been better if guys with the last names of Granato and/or Quenneville knew how to use Ryan Smyth on the Power Play…instead of sticking him behind the net

As noted, I am not a big Peter Budaj fan. Just so everyone knows...you know, so people don't have to point it out every post. That doesn't mean I want him to fail, as some have suggested...that is all

by chiavsfan on Dec 18, 2009 7:47 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I would too. He’s also a LW, something we still have a dearth of.

Galiardi and Radar could have made the list for sure.

Hyphens cause writers more trouble than any other form of punctuation, except perhaps commas.

by David Driscoll-Carignan on Dec 18, 2009 7:51 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

It’s tough to keep the list under control when the entire team is one giant surprise.

Mile High Hockey: Hoping for the best, expecting the worst, hating the Wings.

by Joe Dunman on Dec 18, 2009 8:15 AM MST up reply actions   1 recs

No kidding… I guess I would even have to include PL for his obvious method to this madness.

I am so clever that sometimes I don't understand a single word of what I am saying.

by Pinchy The Lobster on Dec 18, 2009 8:29 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Lacroix has definitely redeemed himself, that’s for sure. Faith restored!

Mile High Hockey: Hoping for the best, expecting the worst, hating the Wings.

by Joe Dunman on Dec 18, 2009 8:35 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Ehhhh, jury is still out in my book. Let’s see how he does with the draft from THIS SEASON. He practically couldn’t miss with the first two picks last season and he didn’t exactly light the world on fire with the FA signings, outside of Anderson (remember, he signed Koci). Quincey has shown flashes, but I still feel like that trade was a loss for the organization. The effectively admitted that they’d overpaid for a guy (Smyth) that they then couldn’t figure out how to use. If Quincey can develop into a top pair guy with the kind of consistency that will anchor a blue line, then it’s a huge W for the long term.

I just wanna see how he does with the upcoming draft and if he addresses the lack of LW’s before I declare him Back in the Saddle.

"I know everyone has their own opinion, but your opinion is wrong. "

by Mike @ MHH on Dec 18, 2009 9:01 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Personally, Anderson alone was a big enough coup to renew my confidence. Along with the Granato and Giguere firings. Of course, he was behind their hirings, too, but we all make mistakes.

Quincey has proven himself a perfectly capable D man. Is he perfect? Not at all. But he’s providing a combination of physicality and offense that no other D-man besides Wilson has managed to do. It’s one or the other with everybody else.

The Koci signing doesn’t bug me really, since it’s consistent with the old “we need an enforcer” line of thinking and Koci was available. Had Scott Parker not gone rogue on the Avs last year, he’d probably still be filling that role. At any rate, it’s not like Koci’s pulling down millions.

Free agents and draft picks are so often crap shoots that the significant successes Lacroix has had renew my confidence in him. Remember, this is the same guy who signed Kariya, Selanne and Fleury. Those sure bets didn’t work out at all. Lacroix’s recent success with players far from being sure bets makes me feel pretty good.

Mile High Hockey: Hoping for the best, expecting the worst, hating the Wings.

by Joe Dunman on Dec 18, 2009 11:41 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

wait until he trades everyone on the above list for Luongo

Hyphens cause writers more trouble than any other form of punctuation, except perhaps commas.

by David Driscoll-Carignan on Dec 18, 2009 11:49 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I think he’s just making sure to leave himself enough room in the cap to play “2002” and sign Kovy.

If Santa comes down my chimney wearing those Red Wing colors, he's going to wish he didn't exist.

by Dixomatic on Dec 18, 2009 1:07 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Wilson’s definitely the biggest surprise, but I feel like Galiardi should also be mentioned here. I know I didn’t expect him to be doing so well.

Forever grateful that Joe Sakic isn't a douche bag like Brett Favre.

by Rather Dashing on Dec 18, 2009 7:51 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

The defensive side of his game has really developed, for sure. He’s been a great third- and fourth-line center this season.

Mile High Hockey: Hoping for the best, expecting the worst, hating the Wings.

by Joe Dunman on Dec 18, 2009 8:14 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

My biggest surprise is Joe Sacco. I’m very impressed with the way he’s running the bench. He’s professional, even tempered and it’s apparent to me that he’s got the attention and respect of his players. I was expecting a timid rookie coach. This guy has set the tone since the rookie development camp and hasn’t let up.

Ryan Wilson is playing so hood that I think if he got more PP time he might even get some Calder talk. His points per game and plus/minus put him at the top of the rookie D men list.

by Dario on Dec 18, 2009 8:04 AM MST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Totally agree. I thought we were getting a place holder for when Roy decided he wanted to coach…and I was pissed about that because I just didn’t see Roy as necessarily the best coach for this team now or in the future. But as it turns out, whatever the motivation was for going with Sacco, we have exactly the coach this team needed.

by exredcoat on Dec 18, 2009 8:19 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I voted for The Baron because I honestly didn’t expect him to regain some of the form that we’d seen in his first couple of years. I was pretty sure the Wonder Twins combo of Quenneville and Granato had pretty much submarined his career in an Avs player. He had all the earmarks of somebody who would get traded and blossom under a different regime.

"I know everyone has their own opinion, but your opinion is wrong. "

by Mike @ MHH on Dec 18, 2009 8:32 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

In the past couple of seasons I got very frustrated by the young players who seemed determined not to develop in the ways the scouts said they would. All the young player minus Stastny seemed very stunted in their growth. Now I think that, for whatever reason, the blame for their slow development rests on the shoulders of Q and Granato. Stewart, Jones and Wolski especially seem like totally different players under Sacco.

Mile High Hockey: Hoping for the best, expecting the worst, hating the Wings.

by Joe Dunman on Dec 18, 2009 8:38 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

“In my opinion, Wolski hasn’t gotten anywhere near enough notice for the season he’s having.”
He isn’t even getting the love in this comments section either. I think Mike is the only person to throw him a bone. Wolski looks like a different player. He skates with confidence and tries to MAKE plays rather then HOPE for them to happen. If anybody remembers when he joined the AVS in the 2006 playoffs and scored 3 points in his first game, after killing it in OHL that same season with 128 points in 57 games, he looks like that player again. Confident.

by Paul's Coffey on Dec 18, 2009 2:10 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I am likely one of the handful of MHHers old enough to actually pick up on your pic reference.

Gomer Pyle USMC FTW!

2009-2010 Colorado Avalanche - Time to grow a pair, boys!

by Hopfenkopf on Dec 18, 2009 12:08 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

I got the Gomer ref

But it’s because my dad watched the show.

The problem with the world is that everyone is a few drinks behind - Humphrey Bogart

by smoky201 on Dec 18, 2009 12:34 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Cumiskey

Great Skills never shown
Not Consistant every night
Only skill is speed

Jesus Saves! Stewart gets the rebound and scores!

by An Unmitigated Disaster on Dec 18, 2009 2:43 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Stewie

Was invisible
Then sparked in the minors to
now be the surprise

Jesus Saves! Stewart gets the rebound and scores!

by An Unmitigated Disaster on Dec 18, 2009 2:46 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Wolski

Used to not show up
Brings his game game more often now
Bad ass shut your mouth

Jesus Saves! Stewart gets the rebound and scores!

by An Unmitigated Disaster on Dec 18, 2009 2:48 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

It’s tough to keep the list under control when the entire team is one giant surprise.

Agree. I thought of a couple of different things, and by the time I read through the comments they’d pretty much all been mentioned. So maybe “the whole team” ought to be an option.

Get rid of the loser point

09-10 Avs- YMMV

by TheRed on Dec 18, 2009 5:54 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

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