Ti4T Update

by David Driscoll-Carignan on Apr 9, 2009 10:15 PM MDT

27	Atlanta Thrashers	SE	81	34	41	6	74	251	278	17-21-2	17-20-4	5-5-0	Lost 3
28	Colorado Avalanche	NW	80	32	44	4	68	199	255	18-20-1	14-24-3	1-6-3	Lost 2
29	Tampa Bay Lightning	SE	81	24	39	18	66	208	273	12-18-11	12-21-7	1-6-3	Lost 8
30	New York Islanders	ATL	80	26	45	9	61	197	270	17-16-6	9-29-3	2-7-1	Lost 2

The Avalanche are no longer on a vector for Victor. After tonight's action, the bottom three spots are set. Colorado is going to finish 28th and will either draft 1st, 3rd or 4th pending the results of next Tuesday's lottery. That means it is unlikely that the Avalanche will land Victor Hedman, although they will certainly land a very good forward.

There will be 5 teams with a chance at the first overall pick - likely John Tavares. Four of those teams are listed above. The 5th team will either be Phoenix (as I type this, they are up 3-0 on San Jose), Los Angeles or Toronto. Toronto is a long shot, though. They need to lose their final game and have the Kings and Coyotes win their remaining games. Both Phoenix and LA are in progress right now. IF those games finish as they are right now (Phoenix winning, LA losing), the Kings will own their destiny - if they lose tonight and on Saturday, they'll be the 5th and final Tavares Tanker. [UPDATE: They did, so LA is now in the driver's seat]

The Avalanche will have a 14.2% chance at the 1st pick, a 56.1% at the 3rd pick and a 29.7% chance at the 4th. Statistically speaking, the probability is that the Avs will stay at #3 (where Jori and I both think they'll select Matt Duchene).

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Comments

You do mean 3rd and fourth, right, not 2nd and third?

But ehh, I think the avs need future forwards, or one who can step right in, before a d-man, stud though he may be.

Get rid of the loser point

08-09 Avs- can we decline the penalty?

by TheRed on Apr 10, 2009 12:03 AM MDT reply actions

I did. fixed.

and I agree.

Hyphens cause writers more trouble than any other form of punctuation, except perhaps commas.

by David Driscoll-Carignan on Apr 10, 2009 6:23 AM MDT up reply actions

take a look at this… seems like a good kid.

NOTICE the jerseys in his room in frames.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EdppAGhnjZg&feature=related

by Ben from Portland on Apr 10, 2009 12:09 AM MDT reply actions

Nice

But he’s touching the Cup. Isn’t that a jinx of some sort? Or does it not count if it was won by a family member?

Get rid of the loser point

08-09 Avs- can we decline the penalty?

by TheRed on Apr 10, 2009 1:02 PM MDT up reply actions

If it`s Duchene or Kane..

..do you think they will be in the team come starting game, or will they start in the minors?

by AvsSweden on Apr 10, 2009 5:31 AM MDT reply actions

knowing management

they’ll be in Sweden. So Congrats!!

2008-2009 Colorado Avalanche: Dry Humping Mediocrity

by Mike @ MHH on Apr 10, 2009 6:59 AM MDT up reply actions

do you think ~~they~~ Darcy Tucker will be in the team come starting game, or will ~~they~~ Tucker start in the minors?

Fixed.

Avs. Sticking it to the Red Wings

by hockeymom on Apr 10, 2009 10:39 AM MDT up reply actions

I would think they get a taste to start the year, but go down after a couple games unless they’re lighting the world on fire.

by thedoctor on Apr 10, 2009 1:55 PM MDT up reply actions

So does this mean we can root for the Avs in the next 2 games then? Since they have sewn up that 3rd worst spot?

by chiavsfan on Apr 10, 2009 7:35 AM MDT reply actions

yep

Hyphens cause writers more trouble than any other form of punctuation, except perhaps commas.

by David Driscoll-Carignan on Apr 10, 2009 7:51 AM MDT up reply actions

I found myself cheering for them last night. Too bad they lost in the shootout. Budaj should have had the last two. Oh well, what can you do?

Now the Avs can play spoilers. Both Vancouver and St. Louis are still playing for something. With our spot in the Ti4T sweepstakes sewn up, we have nothing left to play for but pride. And one would hope that the effort shown here near the end of the season wouldn’t be nearly enough to save FG or TG’s jobs. One would only hope.

MHH: Shagging Dater one contributor at a time.

by Bob in Boulder on Apr 10, 2009 8:51 AM MDT up reply actions

Eh

I think that Ribeiro goal was one where it would have been hard for most goalies to save. I’m not going to blame Budaj for the loss (which is fine, cuz there are plenty of folks out there that will) since he was both the 1st and 2nd star of the game (AP and DP respectively). This is a game that should have been won in regulation either 3 or 4-1. Thanks to Darcy Tuck-up that didn’t happen. This game is another example of why I hate shoot-outs. I think teams should win or lose as a team – extend OT to 20 minutes and if there is a tie, so be it.

I’m excited about Duchene. I agree with you BiB (or at least I think it was you) when you said the Avs need strong forwards who can score. Hope Duchene turns out to be just that!

Avs. Sticking it to the Red Wings

by hockeymom on Apr 10, 2009 10:37 AM MDT up reply actions