Pick your poison
After last night's colossal pooping of hockey pants, a collective 'gulp' was heard round the Avalanche post season success party. Now, one game isn't enough to sway the brains here at MHH, but it is enough to make us kill kittens and have nightmares of that "game" replaying in our minds all last night.
So, what that tumultuous night's non-sleep resulted in is the following two part question in my head: First: Who do you, the adoring fans, PREDICT the AVS will face in the playoffs if they hold on and make it? And second: who would you WANT them to face?
We'll also take a look at the AVS record against potential playoffs match ups, as well as their final 16 "must win" games left on the schedule. A new "Mission 16 W" is upon us.
This moment at the tail-end of the season, for me, feels eerily similar to a 2009-2010 Avalanche third period one-goal lead (and some overzealous Avalanche player is about to take an atrocious offensive zone penalty). The AVS are in the driver's seat and controlling their destiny, yet nobody feels or looks comfortable. The residents are falling back on their heels a bit, and a dark calm before the inevitable storm is creeping its bastard way into my happy thoughts.
Last night, Vancouver looked 100% comfortable playing from behind - the mark of a seasoned and confident team. The Avalanche however, looked like a deer frozen in Zamboni headlights. Running scared. Praying for an Overtime safety net to rescue them from drowning on ice. Yes it's just one game, but it is indicative of how the AVS have finished in "big" games for most of the season. To keep perspective, the AVS still sit firmly in 6th place in the West with a 3 point cushion over Nashville, and a 5 point lead over 8th place Calgary. All is not lost and I'm no Chicken Little, but the fact remains that this young AVS team has a lot more room to grow still, and a tower of tough games ahead of them.
Pundits have commented that the AVS only need to go .500 the rest of the season after the Olympic break to secure a playoff spot (and so far the AVS are obliging), but the bar has been raised my friends. This talented, over-achieving team and it's fans shouldn't be content with simply "over-achieving" anymore. While making the playoffs would still mark this a successful season and set things up for next year, I think it's fair to expect more because we've all seen the AVS DO more. If the AVS miss the playoffs, or make the playoffs and get swept in the first round, it is a failure at this point.
The AVS will rebound nicely from last night's collapse - or Sacco will have their heads and I'll cry myself into next October. Here's a look at the possible rough road ahead for playoff match ups (knock on wood):
SAN JOSE: Honestly, I wouldn't mind going up against the choke machine in San Jose. This season started against them and may be fitting to end against them. Bookends. Resolution. Satisfaction. Season series: 1-1 with 2 games remaining. Tie Breaker: San Jose will have more wins than the AVS, so it goes to SJ. But if by some miracle they are tied in wins, the AVS must win both of the remaining games, or win one and take the other to OT.
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W |
L |
OT |
|
| RECORD VS |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
SCORES |
5-2 |
1-3 |
|
CHICAGO: This would be a fun match up to watch for any hockey fan. The AVS would be the huge underdogs, but the teams play a similar game and it would be up and down excitement. The three games they've played thus far against each other were all surprisingly close as they were ALL decided in shootouts. Season series: 1-0-2 with one game remaining. Tie Breaker: Hawks have more wins, so it goes to them unless the AVS can surpass the Hawks win totals, or match it AND win the final meeting in regulation.
|
W |
L |
OT |
|
| RECORD VS |
1 |
0 |
2 |
|
SCORES |
4-3 (SO) |
|
3-4 (SO) 2-3 (SO) |
VANCOUVER: Every now and then a team will just have the other team's number for a season. This is the case with the Canucks. Yuck. Season series: 1-4. One game remaining. Tie Breaker: as if. It's all Vancouver on this one unless the AVS can flat out win the NW.
|
W |
L |
OT |
|
| RECORD VS |
1 |
4 |
0 |
|
SCORES |
3-0 |
0-3 2-8 2-5 4-6 |
|
LOS ANGELES: The AVS have only played rolled over once against the Kings this year, so it's hard to give an edge to either side. The Kings are GOOD this year, but like the Avalanche, lack experience. The AVS face the Kings in their regular season finale. Season series 0-1. Games remaining: 3. Tie breaker: up for grabs.
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W |
L |
OT |
|
| RECORD VS |
0 |
1 |
0 |
|
SCORE |
|
0-3 |
|
PHOENIX: This would be an intriguing match up as both these clubs have followed a similar trajectory this season. The AVS have played well against Phoenix and their star goaltender Ilya Bryzgalov. The only blemish against the Yotes for the AVS is that still stinging Wolski winner with 22 seconds left. This would be a good match up for the Avalanche in the first round because both teams lack experience and so that would be thrown out of the equation. Season Series: 2-1. Games remaining: 1. Tie Breaker: if tied for wins, the AVS would simply have to get the next meeting to OT to win the tie break.
|
W |
L |
OT |
|
| RECORD VS |
2 |
1 |
0 |
|
SCORES |
4-1 2-1 |
1-3 |
|
Likeliness of 1st round match up: Somewhat Likely.
For other teams to really get into the mix, the AVS would either need to take over the Northwest, or play well below .500 and these other teams play well above .500. Then they could have possible match ups with:
Nashville: Season series: 1-2-1. Zero games remaining. The AVS have trouble with Nashville. I don't want to see them in the first round.
Calgary: Season series: 4-0! All 3-2 wins, one a shootout. Man, it feels good to own this team this season. 2 games remaining.
Detroit: Season Series: 2-2. Zero games remaining. All these games were close and it's hard to gauge a post season match up because Detroit is finally healthy again and could be poised to make a run sucks.
SO WHO DO YOU THINK THE AVALANCHE WILL FACE IN THE PLAYOFFS? WHO DO YOU WANT TO OUR BELOVED AVS TO PLAY??
Home Stretch: Final 16 games in bullet points
- 8 home games, 8 road games remain.
- 4 back-to-back sets remaining.
- No road trips greater than 2 games, and only one home stand over 2 games (3 games March 31 - April 4).
- 5 of the Avalanche's last 7 games are at home.
- 6 games against current non playoff teams: Florida, Anaheim (2), Stars, Blues and Oilers.
- 10 games against current playoff contenders: Flames (2), Sharks (2), Kings (3), Coyotes, Canucks, and Blackhawks.
- "0" the number of starts for Peter Budaj in final 16 games. With 4 back-to-back sets some with travel involved, that seems like a recipe for exhausting Andy, but Sacco is boss. My guess is Budaj starts against Edmonton, the last of the back-to-backs.
Summary: The AVS have one "easy" game left on the schedule: April 7 vs Edmonton. Everybody else will be hotly contesting for a playoff spot (Flames, Panthers, Blues, Stars, and Ducks), or jockeying for a final playoff position and home ice advantage (Sharks, Kings, Yotes, Nucks, Hawks). It's gonna be ugly hard fought hockey that will really test this team's mettle and hopefully prepare them for the post season. This team needs to learn how to win close, tough games in the third period. It's do or die time. I can't wait.
1 recs |
35 comments
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Comments
Now, one game isn’t enough to sway the brains here at MHH,
Speak for yourself
I call it... The Avaslug!
I am the 1st and probably only official member of the David "Dr." Jones fanclub. Until I get the newsletter out, anyway.
Syracuse Basketball 2010: Big East Champs!!! G'Orange!
it was pretty bad wasn’t it. Same with the Phoenix game, and Detroit and……
I just threw up in my mouth a little
by Paul's Coffey on Mar 10, 2010 6:32 PM MST up reply actions
wow. that’s quite the column, nice job.
Honestly, i think we’ll end up playing Chicago, and that’s actually a matchup that would be incredibly entertaining, and end in heartbreak in game 6 or 7, but a hell of a ride if we can step it up.
maybe an internet pipe froze and burst
Honestly I’d love a Phoenix series, or a Chicago series.
If we go against Vancouver, I’m not even watching.
I call it... The Avaslug!
I am the 1st and probably only official member of the David "Dr." Jones fanclub. Until I get the newsletter out, anyway.
Syracuse Basketball 2010: Big East Champs!!! G'Orange!
Is there a way for the avs to open against Toronto? Carolina? I’d take Edmonton or Columbus as well.
I bet he's got more trophies than the pope and Wayne Gretzky combined!
by An Unmitigated Disaster on Mar 10, 2010 6:32 PM MST reply actions
I still think it’s up in the air right now. Honestly I don’t see Vancouver giving up the NW. The Avs needed them to perform worse on their long road stretch and they didn’t. So the Avs will control who they play. I would love to see them edge out LA for the 5th spot (or pass both LA and Phoenix) and play Phoenix in the first round. Both are Cinderella teams this season and the Avs have played well against the Desert Dogs.
Honestly though I think they will drop a spot or two and face either the Hawks or the Sharks. I think a match up against the Hawks would be the most exciting series in the playoffs if the season series is any indicator. What happens when those game can’t be decided by SO?
I don’t want to see the Avs finish in the 6th spot and have to face Vancouver. The Avs can beat the Canucks a game or two, but they could also get completely blown out.
MHH: The Burgundy Army is on the March!
I'm The Canary - but I'm not cute nor cuddly, and I don't sing.
who would i like to see us play? chicago, but that would mean we would have slipped to 7th (or chicago to third) though out of all the games i’ve seen this season, the games against chi-town have been the most exciting, and that’s even with that douchenozzle Pat Kane..i would say that one goes..6 with our boys winning in triple OT and Kane crying like a school girl bitch
if we stay in 6th, well obviously vancouver..which may in fact be the worst 4 (ok maybe 5, we’ll give the boys one win at home) games i’ve ever seen..
'I googled what the white stuff in a Ho-Ho was, i found out it has NINE cups of sugar..that will KILL YOU, it would turn your blood into fruit punch!'
I want the Kings
Then I can actually go to a couple of Avalanche playoff games!!!
www.returnoftheghostbusters.com
that’s what i’m talking about!
The 2009-2010 Colorado Avalanche: People can stop waiting for these kids to hit the wall. They won’t.
by NurseBeachie on Mar 10, 2010 10:55 PM MST up reply actions
I still want that damn 3rd seed!
A man has to dream, doesn’t he?
Jibbles is an older man so you can trust what he says.
It’s too late, the playoffs already started.
Our criminal institutions are full of little creeps like you who do wrong things... and many of them were driven to these crimes by a horrible force called MUSIC!
by Pinchy The Lobster on Mar 10, 2010 7:06 PM MST up reply actions
ka-zing
I call it... The Avaslug!
I am the 1st and probably only official member of the David "Dr." Jones fanclub. Until I get the newsletter out, anyway.
Syracuse Basketball 2010: Big East Champs!!! G'Orange!
by UZ on Mar 10, 2010 7:35 PM MST up reply actions
and Cindy Crosby won the Stanley Cup all by himself on a no-look shot (off a pass from Jarome Iginla out of the corner) against the AVS’ Ryan Miller for Red Wings 216th chumpionship.
by Paul's Coffey on Mar 10, 2010 8:00 PM MST up reply actions
All I want is for the Avs to still be playing in the first half of May. I know that is unlikely but hey can’t I be a little selfish i have been gone from home since the fall and I will be in Colorado for a week. I can’t rightly say who I would want to see them play as I haven’t seen them play. But anything can happen once the playoff start….right?
There are two ways of being happy: We must either diminish our wants or augment our means - either may do - the result is the same and it is for each man to decide for himself and to do that which happens to be easier.
- Benjamin Franklin
Quick prediction (pun intended)
Is we play Phoenix. The parallels of the two teams are pretty extensive, not to mention the trade we made.
I’d like to play LA. I think we’d have a better shot getting by Jonathan Quick (there’s the pun) than Bryzgalov. Also, the D-men that PHX added kinda scare me in terms of playoff experience.
This is also assuming that we don’t win the NW division which we still can.
I actually wonder how well Quick will handle the playoffs. And here’s a little inside piece of info: Quick’s about to be a daddy…like any day now. It’s his first one and he’s in his early 20s. You don’t think that shit is gonna fuck with his head? I’m betting his play is going to TANK with playoff kind of pressure on him when he’s got a newborn at home.
Andy’s gotta step up big against their fire power, tho. Frolov’s found his groove so they’ve got some decent lines rolling; it’s not all the Kopitar show anymore.
The 2009-2010 Colorado Avalanche: People can stop waiting for these kids to hit the wall. They won’t.
by NurseBeachie on Mar 10, 2010 11:01 PM MST up reply actions
Those chokers in San Jose The Coyotes are the team I’d prefer the Avs to face, as far as having a winnable series goes. I don’t know about going up against the Hawks; our games against them have been great but back then we were rocking and they were still finding their legs, and now with things switched around, we’d probably get demolished.
If we can beat the Kings 3 times, we could finish as high as 4th (the Canucks are probably too good to relinquish the division at this point), but I expect we’ll make the playoffs regardless at about 6th or 7th as long as Anderson doesn’t die of overwork this month. Which he looks like he’s in the process of doing, so Budaj had better get a start someday. It’s a good thing we’re up against Keith Ballard, the Scourge of Goalies, next game – maybe Sacco will deem Budaj more expendable and give him the go.
And in somewhat related news:
Damn, two 3-point games in the West tonight: LA takes an OT loss in Chicago and the Canucks drop a shootout in Phoenix, which doubly sucks for the Avs. The Baron went barren though, if it’s any consolation (it’s not, I still love Wolski).
Also, why couldn’t Raycroft ever pull this kind of crazy shit for us?
I unfortunately see them playing Vancouver in the first round, but like almost everyone here, I’d absolutely love to see them play the Blackhawks. That’s mostly my opinion as a pure hockey fan, not as an avs fan.
As an Avalanche fan, I’d really like to see Phoenix in the first round cause I think should be the most winnable matchup. Then again, they are higher than us in the standings.
But even if we did pull the Hawks and lost, it would still be the best test for this very young Colorado team, and as long as they play hard (and someone bitch-slaps Pat Kane) I’ll be pretty happy with their season.
Have I mentioned that I seriously hate that smug little shit Kane and his overly-entitled, spoiled brat attitude?
meh
by Jimmy_the_scumbag on Mar 11, 2010 12:22 AM MST reply actions
Koci would be worth his spot
If he put Kane over his knee and gave him a spank, then give him 20c
It's hard to be a saint in this city
by Nemesis44UK on Mar 11, 2010 5:32 AM MST up reply actions 1 recs
I think we get either Chicago of Vancouver
But honestly, I find it amazing how often members of this community flip their opinion of how our boys are doing. Yes it’s been inconsistent, but to call out the Canucks because they “looked 100% comfortable playing from behind – the mark of a seasoned and confident team” irks me. It’s like people have 1-loss amnesia.
2 games ago St. Louis went up after controlling the opening portion of the 1st period. Our guys wasted no time getting back into the game and got 5 unanswered. But no one cared because we were still seething from Wolski’s winner the game before.
2 games before that the Ducks were 2 up by the halfway-point. Our guys got 4 unanswered. But damned if we weren’t distracted because of the loss to the previous game’s loss to the Grey Wings.
I’m not saying those losses in-between weren’t hard to take: they could have/should have gotten points in all 3 losses since the break… but I’ll be damned if this team hasn’t impressed me this year with its bouncebackability (it’s uh… it’s a word). We’ve only lost 3-in-a-row (in regulation) once all season. ONCE. However, instead of focusing on those positive notions, GDTs after a loss usually start with countless cries of “Uh oh!” and “Here we go again.”
We exclaim how awesome it is for this team to be preforming so well for being so young, yet we don’t allow them any room for error.
Now if you’ll excuse me, I need to run to the bank because I just gave my last $.02
They say the Avs look like smurfs when they wear these jerseys... I just don't see it.
by Guitarpick8120 on Mar 11, 2010 12:50 AM MST reply actions
"looked 100% comfortable playing from behind
Sounds like the Avs, actually.
I am actually up for a series against Phoenix. If for no other reason than to see if Wolski can repeat that goal. Plus, if the Avs did knock them out the playoffs, it would be sweet revenge.
Not that I’m bitter, or anything….ummm
It's hard to be a saint in this city
If you guys do get Chicago, you’ll have temporary fans from the rest of the conference rooting for you. Ain’t no one wanting to face them.
'Nucks Misconduct - Housing Swedish Millionaires Since 2000.
We don’t like your team and your twins and your Sam dude and thus by osmosis or whatever that means you too and so you must go away and no I’m not a crybaby or anything like that or anything and and and….DADDY!! Yankee hit me!!!
The 2009-2010 Colorado Avalanche: People can stop waiting for these kids to hit the wall. They won’t.
by NurseBeachie on Mar 11, 2010 3:48 PM MST up reply actions
Re: "likely"
Zat word you keep using. I do not sink it means what you sink it means.
Inconceivable!
The 2009-2010 Colorado Avalanche: People can stop waiting for these kids to hit the wall. They won’t.
by NurseBeachie on Mar 11, 2010 3:46 PM MST up reply actions
Shut up and I mean it!
Steve Moore’s last act as a hockey player was beating Matt Cooke’s ass, which makes him a great great person.
by An Unmitigated Disaster on Mar 11, 2010 4:22 PM MST up reply actions
I’m just hoping we make the playoffs at this point. I’m definitely still sore about the Vancouver game but the Avs play since the Olympic break has not been good and that’s putting it lightly. They need to get their spark back for the final stretch and Budaj needs to be played in the back to backs, IMO, if we want to have any chance of a) making a playoff appearance and b) not getting tossed out in 4 games in the first round.
An ounce of confidence can carry you a mile toward winning. Oh, and Red Wings suck.

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