FanPost

Cap Space Under the Mark Stone, Jack Hughes Scenario

I believe I may have mentioned once or twice that I am in favor or the Avs acquiring Mark Stone from the Ottawa Senators through the use of an offer sheet. If the team presents him with 5 years at $8 million per season, it is very possible that this gets the job done. In addition to adding a high end player that immediately improves the team, this move also really hurts the Sens in the short term. Ideally, Karlsson is also traded and Ottawa enters a rebuilding year at the worst possible time (i.e. one in which they don't even hold their own first round pick)!

They say the offseason is the time for dreams, and that is what I'm doing here. I'm trying to stay somewhat grounded in reality though through use of the salary cap. Basically I asked myself: Other than some really good quality hockey and a chance at the Cup, what happens if Stone and Hughes (via Ottawa's pick) came to Colorado? The results are below.

I am assuming a 3.5% annual cap increase this time around. Unfortunately, even with the increase, the team runs into cap troubles in 2022. The most obvious solution is to trade Eric Johnson at this time, but keep in mind that MacKinnon will need to be extended the following year as well and will be due for a huge raise. Thus, this only kicks the can down the road one more year. However, in the interim, the Avs will have a one-two punch at center that is up there with Crosby/Malkin and Matthews/Tavares. Everything else looks pretty damn good as well. I say go for it and deal with the consequences of losing Landeskog or Stone at some point. If it brings a Cup, then it's worth it in the end.

2018/2019

  1. Get Mark Stone
  2. Trade Andrighetto for a pick to build depth and capital
  3. Give Nieto a year or two
  4. Be open to trading Varly, as it is likely his last year in Colorado one way or another

Salary Cap 79,500,000





Line/Pairing Player Position Cap Hit Shoots Contract Through RFA/UFA Notes
1 MacKinnon C, RW 6,300,000 Right 2022/2023 UFA
1 Landeskog LW 5,571,429 Left 2020/2021 UFA
1 Rantanen RW 894,167 Left 2018/2019 RFA
2 Jost C, LW, RW 885,833 Left 2019/2020 RFA
2 Kerfoot C, RW 925,000 Left 2018/2019 RFA
2 Stone RW 8,000,000 Right 2023/2024 UFA Acquired via offer sheet
3 Soderberg C, LW 4,750,000 Left 2019/2020 UFA
3 Calvert RW 2,800,000 Right 2020/2021 UFA Acquired in trade
3 Nieto LW, RW 1,750,000 Left 2019/2020 UFA Extended 2 years
4 Kamenev C 833,333 Left 2018/2019 RFA
4 Wilson C, LW 3,937,500 Left 2018/2019 UFA
4 Compher C 925,000 Right 2018/2019 RFA
N/A Greer LW, RW 741,667 Left 2018/2019 RFA
N/A Bourque LW, RW 950,000 Left 2018/2019 RFA
1 Zadorov LD 2,150,000 Left 2018/2019 RFA
1 Barrie RD 5,500,000 Left 2022/2023 UFA
2 Girard LD 728,333 Left 2019/2020 RFA
2 Johnson RD 6,000,000 Right 2022/2023 UFA
3 Cole LD 4,250,000 Left 2020/2021 UFA Replaces Nemeth
3 Barberio LD 1,450,000 Left 2019/2020 UFA
N/A Lindholm LD 717,500 Left 2018/2019 RFA
1 Varlamov G 5,900,000 N/A 2018/2019 UFA
2 Grubauer G 3,333,333 N/A 2021/2022 UFA

Roster Size 23
Total Cost 69,293,095
Dead Money 2,500,000
Cap Space 7,706,905

Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen
Kerfoot Jost Stone
Calvert Soderberg Nieto
Wilson Kamenev Compher

Zadorov Barrie
Girard Johnson
Cole Barberio

Varlamov
Grubauer

2019/2020

  1. Extend Rantanen , Kamenev, Kerfoot, Compher, and Zadorov
  2. Probably extend Greer or Toninato for depth and (ideally)trade Soderberg and Nieto
  3. Bring up Makar, Timmins, Bowers, and Kaut, and potentially trade Barberio
  4. Either sign Francouz as the backup or find one in the free agent market
  5. Wilson and Bourque can go elsewhere
  6. Lindholm can sign a 2-way contract for depth or go elsewhere
  7. Barrie traded before the year for picks/prospects/Cole replacement
  8. Varly either traded during the prior year or lost in free agency
  9. Oh yeah, and draft Jack Hughes

Salary Cap 82,282,500
Line/Pairing Player Position Cap Hit Shoots Contract Through Extensions RFA/UFA Notes
1 MacKinnon C, RW 6,300,000 Right 2022/2023 2022/2023 UFA
1 Landeskog LW 5,571,429 Left 2020/2021 2020/2021 UFA
1 Rantanen RW 7,200,000 Left 2018/2019 2026/2027 RFA Extended 8 years
2 Hughes C 1,100,000 Left N/A 2020/2021 RFA Thanks Ottawa!
2 Jost C, LW, RW 885,833 Left 2019/2020 2019/2020 RFA
2 Stone RW 8,000,000 Right 2023/2024 2023/2024 UFA
3 Kamenev C 2,000,000 Left 2018/2019 2020/2021 RFA Extended 2 years
3 Kerfoot C, RW 3,000,000 Left 2018/2019 2021/2022 RFA Extended 3 years
3 Kaut RW 1,050,000 Right 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA Replaces Bourque
4 Bowers C, LW 1,050,000 Left 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA Replaces Wilson
4 Calvert RW 2,800,000 Right 2020/2021 2020/2022 UFA
4 Compher C 1,450,000 Right 2018/2019 2020/2021 RFA Extended 2 years
N/A Soderberg C, LW 4,750,000 Left 2019/2020 2019/2020 UFA
N/A Nieto LW, RW 1,750,000 Left 2019/2020 2019/2020 UFA
1 Girard LD 728,333 Left 2019/2020 2019/2020 RFA
1 Johnson RD 6,000,000 Right 2022/2023 2022/2023 UFA
2 Zadorov LD 4,750,000 Left 2018/2019 2023/2024 RFA Extended 5 years
2 Makar RD 1,100,000 Right 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA Replaces Lindholm
3 Cole LD 4,250,000 Left 2020/2021 2020/2022 UFA
3 Timmins RD 925,000 Left 2020/2021 2020/2021 RFA Replaces Barberio
N/A Barberio LD 1,450,000 Left 2019/2020 2019/2021 UFA
1 Grubauer G 3,333,333 N/A 2021/2022 2021/2022 UFA
2 Francouz G 1,500,000 N/A 2021/2022 2021/2022 UFA Replaces Varlamov

Roster Size 23
Total Cost 70,943,928
Dead Money 1,500,000
Cap Space 9,838,572

Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen
Jost Hughes Stone
Kerfoot Kamenev Kaut
Calvert Bowers Compher

Girard Johnson
Zadorov Makar
Cole Timmins

Grubauer
Francouz

2020/2021

  1. Jost and Girard are extended
  2. Shvyrev replaces Nieto, and Barron replaces Soderberg
  3. A prospect replaces Kamenev, who is lost in the expansion draft
In the expansion draft, the protected list is as follows:
  • Forwards: MacKinnon, Landeskog, Rantanen, Stone, Jost, Kerfoot
  • Defensmen: Johnson, Girard, Zadorov
  • Goalie: Grubauer

Hughes, Bowers, Shvyryov, Kaut, Makar, Timmins, etc. won't need to be protected, as they are not exposed due to lack of time in the NHL. That leaves Kamenev, Francouz, and Compher as exposed and likely to be taken. I am assuming Kamenev in this scenario.

Salary Cap 85,162,388
Line/Pairing Player Position Cap Hit Shoots Contract Through Extensions RFA/UFA Notes
1 MacKinnon C, RW 6,300,000 Right 2022/2023 2022/2023 UFA
1 Landeskog LW 5,571,429 Left 2020/2021 2020/2021 UFA
1 Rantanen RW 7,200,000 Left 2026/2027 2026/2027 RFA
2 Hughes C 1,100,000 Left 2020/2021 2020/2021 RFA
2 Jost C, LW, RW 4,500,000 Left 2019/2020 2023/2024 RFA Extended 4 years
2 Stone RW 8,000,000 Right 2023/2024 2023/2024 UFA
3 Shvyrev C 925,000 Left 2020/2021 2020/2021 RFA Replaces Nieto
3 Kerfoot C, RW 3,000,000 Left 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA
3 Kaut RW 1,050,000 Right 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA
4 Bowers C, LW 1,050,000 Left 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA
4 Calvert RW 2,800,000 Right 2020/2021 2020/2022 UFA
4 Compher C 1,450,000 Right 2020/2021 2020/2021 RFA
N/A Barron C, LW 1,200,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA Replaces Soderberg
N/A Prospect/FA ? 1,400,000 ? 2022/2023 2022/2023 RFA Replaces Kamenev
1 Zadorov LD 4,750,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
1 Makar RD 1,100,000 Right 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA
2 Girard LD 4,750,000 Left 2019/2020 2024/2025 RFA Extended 5 years
2 Johnson RD 6,000,000 Right 2022/2023 2022/2023 UFA
3 Cole LD 4,250,000 Left 2020/2021 2020/2022 UFA
3 Timmins LD 925,000 Left 2020/2021 2020/2021 RFA
N/A Prospect D 1,100,000 ? ??? ??? RFA Replaces Barberio
1 Grubauer G 3,333,333 N/A 2021/2022 2021/2022 UFA
2 Francouz G 1,500,000 N/A 2021/2022 2021/2022 UFA

Roster Size 23
Total Cost 73,254,762
Cap Space 11,907,626

Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen
Jost Hughes Stone
Kerfoot Shvyrev Kaut
Calvert Bowers Compher

Zadorov Makar
Girard Johnson
Cole Timmins

Grubauer
Francouz

2021/2022

  1. Landeskog extended 5 years
  2. Jack Hughes get a moster 8 year deal
  3. Shvyrev and Compher get a few more years
  4. Timmins get 4 years
  5. Cole's time is up in favor of a cheap and hopefully promising young option
Salary Cap 88,143,071
Line/Pairing Player Position Cap Hit Shoots Contract Through Extensions RFA/UFA Notes
1 MacKinnon C, RW 6,300,000 Right 2022/2023 2022/2023 UFA
1 Landeskog LW 6,500,000 Left 2020/2021 2025/2026 UFA Extended 5 years
1 Rantanen RW 7,200,000 Left 2026/2027 2026/2027 RFA
2 Hughes C 11,000,000 Left 2020/2021 2028/2029 RFA Extended 8 years
2 Jost C, LW, RW 4,500,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
2 Stone RW 8,000,000 Right 2023/2024 2023/2024 UFA
3 Shvyrev C 3,000,000 Left 2020/2021 2023/2024 RFA Extended 3 years
3 Kerfoot C, RW 3,000,000 Left 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA
4 Kaut RW 1,050,000 Right 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA
4 Bowers C, LW 1,050,000 Left 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA
4 Barron C, LW 1,200,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
4 Compher C 1,800,000 Right 2020/2021 2023/2024 RFA Extended 3 years
N/A Prospect/FA ? 1,199,999 ? 2022/2023 2022/2023 RFA
N/A Prospect/FA ? 1,200,000 ? 2022/2023 2022/2023 RFA
1 Zadorov LD 4,750,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
1 Makar RD 1,100,000 Right 2021/2022 2021/2022 RFA
2 Girard LD 4,750,000 Left 2024/2025 2024/2025 RFA
2 Johnson RD 6,000,000 Right 2022/2023 2022/2023 UFA
N/A Prospect/FA D 1,600,000 ? ??? ??? RFA Replaces Cole
3 Timmins LD 3,500,000 Left 2020/2021 2023/2024 RFA Extended 4 years
N/A Prospect D 1,100,000 ? ??? ??? RFA
1 Grubauer G 3,333,333 N/A 2021/2022 2021/2022 UFA
2 Francouz G 1,500,000 N/A 2021/2022 2021/2022 UFA

Roster Size 23
Total Cost 84,633,332
Cap Space 3,509,739

Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen
Jost Hughes Stone
Kerfoot Shvyrev Kaut
Barron Bowers Compher

Zadorov Makar
Girard Johnson
??? Timmins

Grubauer
Francouz

2022/2023

  1. Bowers, Kaut, Kerfoot, and Makar are all extended
  2. Grubauer and Francouz are extended
  3. Obviously, absent any other changes, a salary dump become necessary
Salary Cap 91,228,079
Line/Pairing Player Position Cap Hit Shoots Contract Through Extensions RFA/UFA Notes
1 MacKinnon C, RW 6,300,000 Right 2022/2023 2022/2023 UFA
1 Landeskog LW 6,500,000 Left 2025/2026 2025/2026 UFA
1 Rantanen RW 7,200,000 Left 2026/2027 2026/2027 RFA
2 Hughes C 11,000,000 Left 2028/2029 2028/2029 RFA
2 Jost C, LW, RW 4,500,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
2 Stone RW 8,000,000 Right 2023/2024 2023/2024 UFA
3 Shvyrev C 3,000,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
3 Kerfoot C, RW 3,750,000 Left 2021/2022 2024/2025 RFA Extended 3 years
3 Kaut RW 3,400,000 Right 2021/2022 2024/2025 RFA Extended 3 years
4 Bowers C, LW 2,000,000 Left 2021/2022 2023/2024 RFA Extended 2 years
4 Barron C, LW 1,200,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
4 Compher C 1,800,000 Right 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
N/A Prospect C, LW 1,200,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
N/A Prospect C, LW, RW 1,100,000 ? 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
1 Zadorov LD 4,750,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
1 Makar RD 5,250,000 Right 2021/2022 2025/2026 RFA Extended 4 years
2 Girard LD 4,750,000 Left 2024/2025 2024/2025 RFA
2 Johnson RD 6,000,000 Right 2022/2023 2022/2023 UFA
N/A Prospect/FA D 1,600,000 ? ??? ??? RFA Replaces Cole
3 Timmins LD 3,500,000 Left 2023/2024 2023/2024 RFA
N/A Prospect D 1,100,000 ? ??? ??? RFA
1 Grubauer G 6,500,000 N/A 2021/2022 2026/2027 UFA Extended 5 years
2 Francouz G 2,500,000 N/A 2021/2022 2023/2024 UFA Extended 2 years

Roster Size 23
Total Cost 96,900,000
Cap Space -5,671,921

Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen
Jost Hughes Stone
Kerfoot Shvyrev Kaut
Barron Bowers Compher

Zadorov Makar
Girard Johnson
??? Timmins

Grubauer
Francouz

And so lies the gift/curse of getting great players. At some point, they get paid. Not only that, they make others around them better, and they get paid. This looks pretty sweet though, and if the cost is losing Landeskog or Stone after a few great runs, I'm all for it.

If you are so inclinded, let me know what you think in the comments.

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